Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 2.900337 3.051741 3.211130 3.392190 3.593108 3.810343 4.064506
2025-07-13 2.754035 2.973204 3.215572 3.506403 3.850003 4.248497 4.754168
2025-07-20 2.602991 2.866231 3.168812 3.548618 4.022287 4.608027 5.412949
2025-07-27 2.538375 2.848137 3.217791 3.703338 4.344521 5.196426 6.485180
2025-08-03 2.454817 2.796925 3.218068 3.793274 4.592956 5.730753 7.631994
2025-08-10 2.331779 2.685273 3.130094 3.755135 4.658504 6.015611 8.485008
2025-08-17 2.181345 2.527913 2.969754 3.601396 4.536645 5.991831 8.798838
2025-08-24 2.071792 2.416138 2.860962 3.508164 4.490922 6.078772 9.350489
2025-08-31 2.000615 2.349768 2.807592 3.487378 4.550777 6.349798 10.387797
2025-09-07 1.915570 2.260277 2.716704 3.403595 4.499929 6.415133 10.995303
2025-09-14 1.837184 2.175934 2.628066 3.316099 4.432924 6.438424 11.516766
2025-09-21 1.767721 2.100617 2.548092 3.235846 4.369413 6.457592 12.046697
2025-09-28 1.700846 2.031532 2.480949 3.182558 4.367497 6.643492 13.352911
2025-10-05 1.682651 2.028496 2.508025 3.278657 4.642183 7.490496 17.956271
2025-10-12 1.647421 2.000012 2.496442 3.312511 4.811804 8.178224 23.709322
2025-10-19 1.640159 2.010340 2.542648 3.446060 5.199650 9.610707 42.403335
2025-10-26 1.618648 1.998886 2.554853 3.523106 5.491749 10.989139 95.019000
2025-11-02 1.573158 1.950303 2.506594 3.488848 5.537414 11.619433 220.766739
2025-11-09 1.508378 1.870988 2.406477 3.353794 5.336497 11.274786 256.056716
2025-11-16 1.459184 1.813083 2.337736 3.271612 5.248934 11.345975 665.401052
2025-11-23 1.426935 1.779062 2.305122 3.253116 5.308052 12.044809 NaN
2025-11-30 1.384951 1.729129 2.244943 3.179224 5.224490 12.110448 NaN
2025-12-07 1.344522 1.680351 2.184808 3.101920 5.124159 12.069362 NaN